Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 155.632008 178.346991 203.770897 234.436360 270.554023 311.901164 363.047144
2025-11-02 124.787073 154.229567 190.204428 237.787446 299.652393 378.160500 486.606860
2025-11-09 107.358717 139.839160 182.045187 241.685489 325.050457 439.339555 611.215742
2025-11-16 93.928619 127.470722 173.222515 241.389156 342.460646 490.190551 728.937099
2025-11-23 83.664747 117.518196 165.625446 240.624597 357.665644 538.669314 850.704769
2025-11-30 76.255650 110.431857 160.805425 242.616660 376.400029 594.399090 993.782647
2025-12-07 67.626242 100.412813 150.212913 233.888887 376.202220 618.639301 1086.735372
2025-12-14 61.704515 93.809726 143.986922 231.086852 384.959263 658.732506 1215.580881
2025-12-21 57.835589 89.973079 141.622592 234.204643 404.067590 719.809695 1397.074574
2025-12-28 55.768003 88.787738 143.374031 244.477936 437.342704 812.548570 1663.824098
2026-01-04 53.099047 86.303289 142.601207 250.009070 462.311060 893.056205 1923.037205
2026-01-11 49.575255 82.013217 138.220390 248.238225 472.547107 944.819966 2128.303219
2026-01-18 47.147443 79.747715 137.805415 255.205494 504.268820 1054.422765 2520.650495
2026-01-25 44.411133 76.708377 135.738646 258.874792 530.312425 1158.613511 2938.555047
2026-02-01 42.048562 74.090654 134.126962 263.174071 558.455988 1274.188656 3429.585298
2026-02-08 39.410652 70.681432 130.582000 262.847090 575.883327 1367.322319 3889.889671
2026-02-15 36.994629 67.458614 127.041345 262.003573 591.902028 1460.643211 4388.010295
2026-02-22 35.116559 65.105480 124.997379 264.201443 615.841206 1581.464144 5029.912451
2026-03-01 32.323838 60.680600 118.212799 254.574041 607.800990 1609.660340 5353.805944
2026-03-08 30.370786 57.794929 114.401763 251.484330 616.588155 1690.155744 5913.461769
2026-03-15 29.128275 56.264426 113.349735 254.922250 643.864698 1834.947858 6803.406518
2026-03-22 28.582245 56.141107 115.365608 266.255264 695.730646 2074.036733 8232.484906
2026-03-29 27.670337 55.153024 115.332798 272.359986 733.659212 2278.081938 9628.316608